Paul Davis is a Senior Fellow at Soran University Erbil Iraqi Kurdistan and the president of JANUSThink, a consulting firm in Northern Virginia. A Retired Army Military Intelligence analyst (all source-pol/mil) with a focus on, from the beginning, Soviet Union/Russia, North Korea and the Middle East, Iran, Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan. I was listed as an SME on Kurdistan at the end of my military career and continued as a government contractor. In total I have 30+ years of intel experience, both tactical and strategic My writings use history to connect with current events and project to likely future outcomes. While in service my experience ran from a brigade S2 to working for an intelligence agency and then in support of the J2 at the Joint Staff in the Pentagon.