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This War is not Over

Charles Faddis
Senior Intelligence Editor, Former Cia Operative, Host Of Uscs

Whatever happens in Iraq, the Administration still has no coherent strategy in Syria.



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Tribal Bellydance icon, Rachel Brice with French dancer Illan Riviere; Rachel Brice is a contemporary performer in Tribal Fusion Style Belly Dance based in Portland, Oregon. She is the artistic director and choreographer for The Indigo Belly Dance Company and an original (and frequent) performer with the Bellydance Superstars. Illan Riviere is a dancer, choreographer and artistic director of the company Imajaghan, his team is a inexhaustible source of exchange, discovery, excitement, research, exploration of body states, movements. He advocates a dance without a label, which would define the life of the dancer. | ©2016 Taboo Media | Web Link | Related: Rachel Brice, Illan Riviere, tribal.

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France, is a sovereign state comprising territory in western Europe and several overseas regions and territories. The European, or metropolitan, area of France extends from the Mediterranean Sea to the English Channel and the North Sea, and from the Rhine to the Atlantic Ocean. France spans 643,801 square kilometres (248,573 sq mi) and has a total population of 66.7 million. It is a unitary semi-presidential republic with the capital in Paris, the country's largest city and main cultural and commercial centre.

It is just beginning.

Francois Hollande

President Hollande making a statement after the Nice truck attack. François Gérard Georges Nicolas Hollande, born 12 August 1954, the President of the French Republic and Co-Prince of Andorra, having been elected to the position in 2012. Hollande was previously the First Secretary of the French Socialist Party from 1997 to 2008, the mayor of Tulle from 2001 to 2008, and the President of the Corrèze General Council from 2008 to 2012. Hollande also served in the National Assembly of France twice for the department of Corrèze's 1st Constituency from 1988 to 1993, and again from 1997 to 2012. | Francois Hollande, France, President, Nice, Terrorist, Violence,

It is just beginning.

Charles Faddis
Senior Intelligence Editor, Former Cia Operative, Host Of Uscs

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[Comments] Probably no Administration in American history is more adept at the false narrative than the Obama Administration. A disastrous Iran nuclear deal, which has emboldened a deadly enemy and led to an explosive growth in the capabilities and influence of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, is billed as having made the world safer. Obamacare, a complete smoking financial disaster, which is demonstrably unsustainable, is touted as a great success. Immigration policies and executive actions, which collectively amount to the abandonment of control over our borders, are billed as minor administrative adjustments and efforts to keep families together.

But perhaps none of these fictions is so immediately threatening to the safety of American citizens as the idea that ISIS is on its last legs and that the unprecedented wave of terror now gripping the planet is just some sort of “death spasm” before the monster expires.

ISIS is not on its last legs. The monster is nowhere near dead.


The core of this Administration’s “strategy” against ISIS is a largely conventional military response inside Iraq in which Iraqi forces are retaking territory seized by ISIS and incorporated into the so-called Caliphate. In reality a very large portion of the forces moving into Western Iraq are Shia militia in league with the Iranians. These militia are pursuing an overtly sectarian agenda and perpetrating atrocities rivaling those of ISIS. Fallujah may have fallen. Mosul may fall in a few months. They may just as easily return to the control of ISIS next year when anger at Shia abuses and Iranian influence boils over. A fire not fully extinguished can reignite almost instantaneously.

Whatever happens in Iraq, the Administration still has no coherent strategy in Syria. The fight there is ultimately about the future of the Assad regime and what follows it. The Administration has ignored that “elephant in the room” from the beginning of its efforts, and consequently its policies have no hope of success. For the foreseeable future ISIS will enjoy a safehaven of sorts inside Syria in immediate proximity to Jordan, Turkey and Iraq.

While the Administration has pursued its ponderous policy of focusing on rebuilding the Iraqi military (again), ISIS has morphed and jumped ahead to a host of other areas. Already ISIS has declared provinces in nine countries outside of Iraq and Syria, Libya, Egypt, Yemen, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Nigeria and Russia.

Great swathes of North Africa are either under ISIS control or plagued by increasing levels of sympathy to the cause. It is no accident that the single largest group of foreign fighters in the ranks of ISIS comes from Tunisia. Six thousand individuals from that nation alone have joined the terrorist organization. About the time that Mosul finally falls we may see the creation of another Caliphate in North Africa.

Isis.com


Finally, ISIS is doing an extraordinary job of spreading its message and its organization beyond the territory formally under its control. Recent attacks have occurred in Bangladesh, Baghdad, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Turkey, France and Florida among other places. While some of these attacks have been the work of lone actors, others have involved large organizations and extensive preparation.

A report last year by the Soufan Group estimated that roughly 30,000 foreign fighters from 86 nations had traveled to the Middle East to be trained by and fight with ISIS. Five thousand people from Europe alone are estimated to have gone to Syria for training. No matter what happens, many of those individuals are going to survive and live on to spread the pestilence elsewhere on the planet.

The technical capabilities and designs of the organization are increasing as well. At this stage ISIS has a highly evolved chemical weapons capability. It has interest in biological weapons as well and, based on news reports from Kenya, may have attempted to launch a bio weapons attack only a few months ago. ISIS operatives have also been shown conclusively to have worked on planning for assaults on nuclear power plants in the heart of Europe.

The end of nothing


In short, we are at the end of nothing. Our policy is not working. Continued insistence on adherence to the false narrative that this war is almost over and continued reliance upon time consuming and expensive efforts to forge conventional military responses to an unconventional foe will only prolong the conflict.

We need to respond to a nimble, adaptable enemy with aggressive efforts by intelligence and special operations forces to find the enemy, fix him in time and space and end him before he acts. We need to follow him into the back alleys and remote mountain ranges of the planet and crush him. We need to recognize that we are at grips with a fanatical foe with an expressly religious agenda and an apocalyptic word view and act accordingly.

This war is not over. It is just beginning.


Charles Faddis

Charles Faddis, Senior Intelligence Editor, Former Cia Operative, Host Of Uscs: Charles S. Faddis, President of Orion Strategic Services, LLC is a former CIA operations officer with twenty years of experience in the conduct of intelligence operations in the Middle East, South Asia and Europe. He has worked against the most dangerous terrorist organizations on the planet and has extensive firsthand experience with their methodology and tactics. His last assignment prior to retirement in May of 2008 was as head of the CIA's terrorist Weapons of Mass Destruction unit. He... (more...)